
Intriguing baseball payroll graphic. Fenway Park review coming soon.
A blog about sports (mostly), music, news (rarely), life and whatever else crosses my mind. Written from Ohio with a New York perspective.
Week 3 | ||||
Team | Opponent | SoS Remaining | Sos Thru Week 2 | |
1 | New Orleans | ATL | 19.8 | 20.5 |
2 | Green Bay | @CHI | 15.1 | 25.0 |
3 | Indianapolis | @DEN | 14.4 | 8.0 |
4 | Houston | DAL | 14.3 | 11.0 |
5 | Pittsburgh | @TAM | 15.8 | 14.5 |
6 | New England | BUF | 13.7 | 9.5 |
7 | San Diego | @SEA | 16.8 | 21.5 |
8 | Miami | NYJ | 13.2 | 26.5 |
9 | Cincinnati | @CAR | 14.0 | 8.5 |
10 | NY Jets | @MIA | 13.9 | 8.5 |
11 | Baltimore | CLE | 14.3 | 9.5 |
12 | NY Giants | TEN | 15.7 | 15.5 |
13 | Chicago | GNB | 15.1 | 22.5 |
14 | Tennessee | @NYG | 11.7 | 16.0 |
15 | Atlanta | @NOR | 16.9 | 17.0 |
16 | Denver | IND | 16.1 | 20.5 |
17 | Jacksonville | PHI | 15.2 | 11.5 |
18 | Philadelphia | @JAC | 14.2 | 12.5 |
19 | Washington | @STL | 15.4 | 13.0 |
20 | San Francisco | @KAN | 20.5 | 12.5 |
21 | Minnesota | DET | 14.9 | 4.5 |
22 | Dallas | @HOU | 12.9 | 16.0 |
23 | Detroit | @MIN | 14.9 | 15.5 |
24 | Seattle | SDG | 19.6 | 18.0 |
25 | Tampa Bay | PIT | 15.4 | 29.0 |
26 | Kansas City | SFO | 17.8 | 18.5 |
27 | Oakland | @ARI | 13.9 | 22.5 |
28 | Carolina | CIN | 15.3 | 18.5 |
29 | Arizona | OAK | 19.5 | 23.0 |
30 | Cleveland | @BAL | 11.1 | 25.5 |
31 | St. Louis | WAS | 18.5 | 28.0 |
32 | Buffalo | @NWE | 13.0 | 5.0 |
Week 1 | ||||
Team | Opponent | SoS | 2009 Sos | |
1 | Indianapolis | @HOU | 14.5 | 15.8 |
2 | New Orleans | MIN | 17.5 | 17.9 |
3 | NY Jets | BAL | 15.4 | 15.2 |
4 | Baltimore | @NYJ | 15.4 | 15.1 |
5 | San Diego | @KAN | 17.9 | 17.4 |
6 | Green Bay | @PHI | 15.7 | 17.9 |
7 | Minnesota | @NOR | 15.2 | 17.4 |
8 | New England | CIN | 13.4 | 13.8 |
9 | Dallas | @WAS | 14.2 | 16.9 |
10 | Cincinnati | @NWE | 13.3 | 14.6 |
11 | Houston | IND | 12.7 | 15.4 |
12 | NY Giants | CAR | 15.2 | 16.2 |
13 | Tennessee | OAK | 13.8 | 14.1 |
14 | Pittsburgh | ATL | 14.8 | 15.1 |
15 | San Francisco | @SEA | 19.7 | 18.3 |
16 | Miami | @BUF | 14.4 | 12.6 |
17 | Atlanta | @PIT | 16.4 | 15.2 |
18 | Carolina | @NYG | 16.9 | 14.5 |
19 | Denver | @JAC | 15.6 | 14.5 |
20 | Jacksonville | DEN | 14.9 | 15.5 |
21 | Philadelphia | GNB | 13.2 | 15.8 |
22 | Washington | DAL | 14.7 | 16.5 |
23 | Arizona | @STL | 18.1 | 16.9 |
24 | Detroit | @CHI | 15.2 | 15.1 |
25 | Chicago | DET | 14.4 | 15.8 |
26 | Oakland | @TEN | 16.2 | 14.0 |
27 | Kansas City | SDG | 17.9 | 16.1 |
28 | Tampa Bay | CLE | 16.2 | 13.6 |
29 | Seattle | SFO | 18.6 | 16.6 |
30 | Cleveland | @TAM | 13.4 | 14.5 |
31 | St. Louis | ARI | 18.9 | 15.6 |
32 | Buffalo | MIA | 13.0 | 13.0 |
Indy – I mean, they win about 95% of their regular season games for the last 5 years (if you exclude the games they play 2nd string). Since this isn’t the playoffs, they are the #1.
New Orleans – Playing Tampa and Carolina 4x a year must be nice. Madden curse alert.
Jets – This is inflated because Rex Ryan’s speeches unfortunately can’t be their own team. I need a GD snack.
Baltimore – On paper, they’re good. I want to see how 3 possession receivers do though before we have Denny Green crown them.
San Diego – Uhh, why do people think V Jackson is that big of a deal? They have more than enough to hide his absence.
Green Bay – Everyone is talking about Aaron Rogers, but I’d just like to thank Ryan Grant for helping me win my work fantasy football league last year
Minnesota – They rank this high now, but I’m guessing they are in the teens after week 4. Expect the IR to start filling up.
New England – Tom Brady’s hair is just the worst. It looks like Justin Beiber grew up, went to the hair stylist, and asked for the McGuyver.
Dallas – They’ll be good early, and suck late. Which btw, great summary of a date.
Cincinnati – I love me my Bengals. However, I’d like to see Palmer not overthrow too many people before I trust him some more.
Houston – 8-8 seems to be their motto. I expect Andre Johnson to regress a little this year.
NY Giants – Sneaky good this year. All they have to do is retire Brandon Jacobs jersey. Maybe he’ll take the hint.
Tennessee – Say what you want about Vince Young, but he wins. And throws punches.
Pittsburgh – You think Ben’s pocket vision works at these bars where he can find the unsuspecting girl to ruffie?
San Francisco – They are the best team in the worst division ever. Congrats?
Miami – Until your defense can stop anyone, I don’t want to hear about how good that offense is.
Atlanta – Matt Ryan is okay. At best. They’ll be better this year, and maybe even make the wild card, but it will take a few weeks to shake the rust off.
Carolina – No Jake Delhomme = A good thing.
Denver – Who is their primary receiver? No really. I don’t know.
Jacksonville – 35,000 fans are very nervous about MJD’s injury status. Only half of those fans have season tickets.
Philly – Too much turnover to be good right out of the gate. But on offense at least, they have the talent.
Washington – McNabb and Portis are a deadly Combo. In 2004.
Arizona – Not a good sign that starter wasn’t good enough for the Browns! And Delhomme is better!
Detroit – Jahvid Best is a great name. Not as good as Kareem Huggins, but still.
Chicago – This turkey is done cooking. Cubs suck. So do the bears.
Oakland – Jamarcus Russell was a worse decision than MTV execs not having Jersey Shore cast mates in a Real World Challenge yet.
Kansas City – Thomas Jones adds a valuable piece to this team. Experience in winning. That’s 1 of 53 for those keeping track at home.
Tampa Bay- This team looks like somebody took a crap or dump in the printer.
Seattle – God hates Seattle. A lot. I think they’ll be fighting for 2 wins.
Cleveland – God hates Cleveland. Maybe even more. Howeva, I think they win 5 or 6 games this year, but unfortunately, it’ll come after they’re out of contention.
St Louis. – Terrible. Take a lap.
Buffalo – A real chance of going 0-16. CJ Spiller can’t run when there’s 9 guys in the box. Trust meNotes:
- All statistics were acquired from baseballreference.com
-Career averages calculations exclude the 1995 and 2010 season, to make sure only full seasons were factored in (also note: post season stats are completely separate from regular season stats, and play no role in the following analysis)
-All the total hits calculations are based on Jeets having 2,874 hits (Accurate as of 8-9-2010)
Data:
Career AB – 8610 (not including 1995, 2010)
Career Ave Games Played per Season – 151.6
Career Ave AB per game – 4.057
Batting Averages:
Low for Career- .280
Ave for Career- .315
High for Career- .340
Hits per game:
Low BA- 1.136
Ave BA- 1.278
High BA- 1.416
Calculations:
There are 49 regular season games left, according to Jeter’s career ave games played per year, he will play in 40.6 remaining games. For the sake of thoroughness, I have calculated figuring both 40.6 games played as well as 49 games played)
Projected hits left this year: 40.6 games played
Low BA -46.122 (79.878 hits remaining until 3000)
Ave BA – 51.887 (74.113 hits remaining until 3000)
High BA – 57.490 (68.510 hits remaining until 3000)
Projected hits left this year 49 games played
Low BA -55.664 (70.336 hits remaining until 3000)
Ave BA – 65.622 (63.378 hits remaining until 3000)
High BA – 69.384 (56.616 hits remaining until 3000)
Games projected until 3000 hits, entering the 2011 season
79.878 hits needed:
Low BA: 70.3
Ave BA: 62.5
High BA : 56.4
74.113 hits needed:
Low BA: 65.2
Ave BA: 58.0
High BA : 52.3
65.510 hits needed:
Low BA: 57.7
Ave BA: 51.3
High BA : 46.3
70.336 hits needed:
Low BA: 61.9
Ave BA: 55.0
High BA : 49.7
63.378 hits needed:
Low BA: 55.8
Ave BA: 49.6
High BA : 44.8
56.616 hits needed:
Low BA: 49.8
Ave BA: 44.3
High BA : 40
Maximum games need to hit 3000
Minimum games needed to hit 3000
Conclusions:
One can postulate based on the above data and calculations that Jeets will have 3000 hits between 40 and 71 games into next season.
Once the 2011 schedule comes out, which is usually ~November, we can use this data to pick a specific month, series, game, and even At-Bat Jeets will hit the big 3000, becoming the 28th player in baseball history to do so.
Pete Rose has 4256 career hits – that’s 1382 more than Jeter
Jeter would need to play 8.02 (hitting his career Low BA), 7.13 (hitting his career Ave BA), or 6.44 (hitting his career High BA) more seasons at his current games played per year average to surpass Rose as the All-Time Hits Leader
Will Jeets be on the field in 2018 at age 44?